09 February 2022>: Clinical Research
A Risk Prediction Model for Prolonged Length of Stay in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Study of 225 Patients in a Single Center in Kunming, China
Lifen Yang 1ABCDEFG* , Meihua Li 1BCD , Jingkui Shu 2BCD , Yanxia Yang 1BCD , Qian Huang 3BCDDOI: 10.12659/MSM.934392
Med Sci Monit 2022; 28:e934392
Table 5 Variables associated with the risk of prolonged LOS in the final model.
Variable | β | S.E | Wald | P | OR | Lower | Upper |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 0.038 | 0.022 | 3.149 | 0.076 | 1.039 | 0.996 | 1.084 |
Sex | 0.720 | 0.541 | 1.772 | 0.183 | 2.055 | 0.712 | 5.933 |
mMRC scale | 0.449 | 0.380 | 1.396 | 0.237 | 1.567 | 0.744 | 3.299 |
COPD-exacerbated autumn | 0.583 | 0.378 | 2.371 | 0.124 | 1.791 | 0.853 | 3.760 |
Charlson index | 0.859 | 0.543 | 2.505 | 0.113 | 2.360 | 0.815 | 6.837 |
Corticosteroids use during hospitalization | 1.257 | 0.377 | 11.094 | 3.514 | 1.677 | 7.362 | |
LY | −0.356 | 0.245 | 2.105 | 0.147 | 0.701 | 0.433 | 1.133 |
HCO | 0.067 | 0.034 | 3.888 | 0.049 | 1.069 | 1.000 | 1.142 |
pH | −0.853 | 0.280 | 9.298 | 0.002 | 0.426 | 0.246 | 0.737 |
ΔPLT | 0.007 | 0.003 | 4.836 | 0.028 | 1.007 | 1.001 | 1.014 |
ΔPCT | 0.704 | 0.319 | 4.863 | 0.027 | 2.021 | 1.081 | 3.778 |
LOS – length of stay; mMRC – modified Medical Research Council; PLT – platelet; PCT – procalcitonin; S.E – standard error; OR – odds ratio; Δ – changes between the fourth and first day of hospitalization. |